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Hotel sentiment at all-time high

hospitalityInside INVESTMENT BAROMETER for the first time above 4,000 mark - Public Version

Investment Barometer Auswertung Autumn 2015  
   

Augsburg/Hamburg (December 4, 2015). The hotel real estate sector has never been as euphoric as this autumn. Since the introduction of the "hospitalityInside INVESTENT BAROMETER" in autumn 2013, the Business, Development, Expectation and Operation Index has known just one trend: upwards. Each attack of pessimism has been overcome. The strongest driver is hotel development.

The overall investment index - the sum of all four indices - breached the 4,000 threshold for the first time in October 2015 to reach 4,154 points. Compared to spring 2015, this corresponds to a rise of 9.01% and a rise of 7.13% compared to autumn 2014.


Investment Barometer Herbst 2015 Verlauf Indices engl
 
 
   


The number of investors indicating the prospects for their own business to be positive rose considerably on the number from the last survey. 86.7% indicated the prospects for their business to be "good" or "very good" - a significant change on spring 2015 when the value stood at 73.4%. When asked about their expectations for the coming six months, 89.7% expect business to be "good" to "very good".

All of this, drives hotel development which in turn points to a persistent hotel construction boom. 48.5% - 12% more than in the last survey - describe the sentiment in hotel development as "very good".

Reactions are likely to be different in respect of the high and rising investor demand in the German hotel investment market. The survey underlines what could already be felt at the EXPO REAL. Over the past 12 months, the willingness to take more risk has increased significantly. The trend is likely to continue, at least at short notice as Andreas Loecher, Head of Investment Management Hotel at Union Investment Real Estate GmbH, forecasts. "Non-core" will move more into focus even in hotel investments. Investor interest in hotel real estate which needs revitalising is also likely to continue to grow.

Extracts of the new results will also be published on the Union Investment website (www.union-investment.de/realestate) in the next days. In today's issue of the hospitalityInside online magazine, subscribers will find an extended version ("magazine version") of the current survey.

Those who want to obtain the entire analysis of the survey in future should register for the new barometer. Registration and participation are free of charge.

In the attached PDF below, you will find all information about the publically accessible survey at a glance. / kn


INDEX: TOTAL RESULTS FALL 2015

 
The Total Investment Index broke through the 4,000 mark and with this, achieved an all-time high of 4,154 points. The increase of 9.01% in spring 2015 and 7.13% in autumn 2014 underlines the very positive mood in October 2015.

 

 

TOTAL INVESTMENT INDEX

  (max. = 5000)

4154

BUSINESS INDEX

How do you evaluate the current market situation for your own business?

4118

EXPECTATION INDEX

What are your business expectations for the next six months?

4132

DEVELOPMENT INDEX

How do you assess the current mood in the hotel industry with respect to the development of new hotel projects?

4353

OPERATION INDEX

How do you assess the current mood in the hotel industry with respect to the turnover development of hotels?

4015

 

 
hospitalityInside Investment BAROMETER Autumn 2015 Public Version

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